Tuesday, 25 October 2011

Chepstow - 25th October

Today we have a nice card at Chepstow, this was transfeered from Taunton due to the very firm ground at that track. The going today should just about be perfect jumping ground.

In the first race i am keen on Daymar Bay to take this. Won a Lingfield bumper impressively an was a good second on hurdling debut last season, beaten by a subsequent winner. Likely to have grown and strenghtened during the summer this horse can improve again and is a good bet to do so. The main danger is the Paul Nicholls horse Prospect Wells owned by Graham and Andrea Wylie. 102 rated on the flat and sure to be schooled well this is a serious danger but i am going for that valuable experience of Daymar Bay.

In the 310 race i like the look of Digger Gets Lucky as an each way bet at around 12-1. A winner on thsi track on seasonal debut last year this horse has a decent record when fresh and on a course he clearly handles can get in the places. More known as a chaser these days it will be interesting to see whether this is just a blow out for the season ahead or the trainer trying to find a winning oppurtunity. At the prices it is worth taking the chance.

The novice chase half an hour later looks likely to be imformative for the future. Alfie Spinner is a horse i really like, tough and consistent he looks the type to be able to make an impact over fences. Red Harbour sets the standard and a good standard after his chase debut win but if i am right Alfie Spinner will be better that a 130 chaser this season and can take this contest on the way to better things.

The 510 race is a competitive handicap chase. I always like a front runner over fences at Chepstow and on that basis i am going to tip up Lord Singer as an ew alternative. This horse is a really super bold jumper and if he can get an uncontested lead i think this could be a very dangerous horse today. An ok if unspectacular record fresh and the trainer is in fine form at likely odds of 16-1 this remains a good price. We are likely to know our fate early on if hassled for the lead confidence would be reduced somewhat.

Finally in the bumper Barney Cool can defy a penalty to win this before embarking on a hurdling career. From the same family as the very useful Mr Cool this horse gave Mr McCoy a nice feel when winning at fontwell and the jockey was quoted as saying that this is a nice prospect. Unlikey to fail for fitness today and from leading connections this looks a nice type. As always in this type of race there are some nice types who will improve as the season goes on. However Barney Cool can put them to bed with a nice performance.

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